Association between anxiety and frailty in postmenopausal women.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the association between anxiety and frailty in community-dwelling postmenopausal women. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study in which 390 postmenopausal women (aged 60-83 years) who were attending a comprehensive care program were surveyed between January 2018 and February 2020. Each participant was administered a validated Spanish version of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) to assess their anxiety status. Those scoring 8 or higher on the anxiety subscale of the HADS were indicative of anxiety. The assessment of frailty utilized the Fried's phenotype, with a diagnosis of frailty established if the participant met at least three out of the five criteria. Factors associated with frailty were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 70.08 years, with an average of 12.58 ± 3.19 years since menopause. Frailty was diagnosed in 43.85% of the total series, while anxiety was present in 41.08%, rising to 69.59% in participants with frailty. Neither body mass index, years since menopause, educational level, economic status, nor smoking habit demonstrated significant associations with frailty. Upon multivariate analysis, anxiety (OR 8.56), multimorbidity (OR 2.18), and age (OR 2.73) emerged as independently associated with frailty (p < .001, p = .005, and p < .001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Among postmenopausal women with frailty, anxiety was detected in over two thirds of cases and was independently associated with frailty. This underscores the relevance of implementing anxiety screening in comprehensive care programs for postmenopausal women, with the goal of improving frailty through anxiety diagnosis and treatment.

Mediterranean diet for cancer prevention and survivorship.

Cancer is one of the main noncommunicable diseases in terms of health impact. Factors such as a progressively aging population point to future increases in the incidence of cancer on a global level. The elevated number of affected individuals, together with continuous improvements in cancer prevention and therapy, is creating a growing population of cancer survivors, with often inadequately met needs. Lifestyle is a key modulator of cancer risk and of associated morbidity and mortality, and is included in all approaches to the long-term management of cancer. Diet is a principal component of lifestyle, and most of the available evidence is centered on the Mediterranean diet. Our objective was to provide a narrative review of the evidence on the effect of the Mediterranean diet on cancer risk and health threats related to cancer survivorship. For this purpose, we searched the PubMed database for articles published between January 1, 2000, and June 12, 2023. Current data show that the Mediterranean diet is inversely associated with risk, or is risk neutral, for most types of cancer. Tumors of the digestive system have received preferential interest, but studies have also been published on tumors in other organs. The evidence, however, is meager due to the observational nature of most studies, although it is reassuring that benefit is reproduced in studies performed in different populations and environments. Evidence related to cancer survivors is limited by the paucity of studies, yet several findings regarding survival, recurrence, and short- and long-term morbidity suggest a potential role for the Mediterranean diet that warrants further research.

Association of the rs17782313, rs17773430 and rs34114122 Polymorphisms of/near MC4R Gene with Obesity-Related Biomarkers in a Spanish Pediatric Cohort.

Obesity is a multifactorial disease whose onset and development are shaped by the individual genetic background. The melanocortin 4 receptor gene (MC4R) is involved in the regulation of food intake and energy expenditure. Some of the single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of this gene are related to obesity and metabolic risk factors. The present study was undertaken to assess the relationship between three polymorphism SNPs, namely, rs17782313, rs17773430 and rs34114122, and obesity and metabolic risk factors. One hundred seventy-eight children with obesity aged between 7 and 16 years were studied to determine anthropometric variables and biochemical and inflammatory parameters. Our results highlight that metabolic risk factors, especially alterations in carbohydrate metabolism, were related to rs17782313. The presence of the minor C allele in the three variants (C-C-C) was significantly associated with anthropometric measures indicative of obesity, such as the body mass and fat mass indexes, and increased the values of insulinemia to 21.91 µIU/mL with respect to the wild type values. Our study suggests that the C-C-C haplotype of the SNPs rs17782313, rs17773430 and rs34114122 of the MC4R gene potentiates metabolic risk factors at early ages in children with obesity.

Genetic variants of the vitamin D receptor are related to dynapenia in postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: Dynapenia increases with age and in the case of women is possibly influenced by menopause, yet whether vitamin D affects this increase remains controversial. The influence of genetic variants (single nucleotide polymorphisms) of the vitamin D receptor on dynapenia is an understudied area. AIM: To analyze the association between genetic variants of the vitamin D receptor gene and dynapenia in a cohort of community-dwelling postmenopausal women. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study of 463 women in a university hospital. Grip strength was used as an indicator of dynapenia. Differences in grip strength among single nucleotide polymorphisms rs11568820 and rs2228570 genotypes of the vitamin D receptor gene were assessed after adjusting for confounding variables, and the percentage of phenotypic variance was estimated by linear regression. RESULTS: Dynapenia (grip strength <20 kg) was diagnosed in 178 of the women (38.45 %). A difference in grip strength, corresponding to variants of the vitamin D receptor gene single nucleotide polymorphism rs11568820, was found when using an additive model of inheritance, with lower grip strength for the TT genotype (ANOVA, p = 0.030, close to the 0.025 significance level determined by Bonferroni correction). Assuming a recessive inheritance model for allele T, the between-group difference in grip strength was significant (TT = 19.79 ± 3.10 kg vs. CC/CT = 21.58 ± 3.49 kg, p = 0.008) after adjusting for age, body mass index, comorbidities, and sociodemographic variables. More women with dynapenia had the TT genotype (60.71 %) than the CC or CT genotype (37.01 %) (p = 0.012). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that the TT genotype of the rs11568820 SNP of the vitamin D receptor gene was associated with decreased grip strength in community-dwelling postmenopausal women.

The covid-19 pandemic and the usability of telehealth in a midlife women's health integrated care program.

BACKGROUND: Telehealth has emerged as an alternative to conventional, face-to-face visits, and the COVID pandemic has hastened its introduction. Telephone appointments make use of an easy-to-use and accessible technology. AIM: To investigate the usability of telephone-based telehealth in a women's health outpatient clinic and whether this may be affected by the severity of the COVID pandemic. METHOD: A telephone survey was prepared to explore two usability domains: interaction quality (4 items) and satisfaction, preference and future use (6 items). Women were selected from two periods during the COVID pandemic when the infection rates were high and low. RESULTS: The survey was completed by 106 women (60 when the prevalence of COVID was high, mean age 53.58 years, and 46 when it was low, mean age 48.59 years) out of the 153 women who had a telephone appointment. The severity of the COVID pandemic showed an effect on responses. Women were less enthusiastic about using the telephone during the period of low COVID prevalence, as shown by lower scores on 3 of the 4 items of the first domain [I had enough time; I would have understood better in person; I would have expressed myself better in person (p < 0.001 for comparison between groups on each of the 3 items)], and on 4 of the 6 items in the second domain [satisfied with quality of care (p < 0.001), or with the information received (p = 0.018); use of telephone in future (p < 0.001); preference to try other technologies in future (p < 0.001)]. Overall, women expressed a preference for in-person visits regardless of COVID prevalence rates. CONCLUSION: Telephone calls were a feasible alternative to face-to-face visits in a women's health outpatient clinic, but the pandemic pressure modified usability parameters. Respondents preferred in-person visits at any pandemic stage.

Metabolomic Analysis of Severe Osteoarthritis in a Spanish Population of Women Compared to Healthy and Osteoporotic Subjects.

Bone pathologies such as osteoporosis (OTP) and osteoarthritis (OA) are rising in incidence with the worldwide rise in life expectancy. The diagnosis is usually obtained using imaging techniques such as densitometry, but with both being multifactorial diseases, several molecular mechanisms remain to be understood. Metabolomics offers the potential to detect global changes which can lead to the identification of biomarkers and a better insight in the progress of the diseases. Our aim was to compare the metabolic profiles of a cohort of 100 postmenopausal women, including subcapital hip fragility fracture patients, women with severe OA of the hip that required the implantation of a hip prosthesis and controls, to find altered metabolites and networks. Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy was used to obtain the metabolomic profiles of peripheral blood derived serum, and statistical analysis was performed using MATLAB V.6.5. 30 of the 73 metabolites analysed showed statistically significant differences in a 3-way ANOVA, and 11 of them were present in the comparison between OA and controls after adjustment by covariates, including amino acids, energy metabolism metabolites and phospholipid precursors. PLS-DA analysis shows a good discrimination between controls and fracture subjects with OA patients, and ROC curve analysis demonstrates that control and fracture subjects were accurately discriminated using the metabolome, but not OA. These results point to OA as an intermediate metabolic state between controls and fracture, and suggest that some metabolic shifts that happen after a fracture are also present at weaker intensity in the OA process.

Polymorphisms in Genes Involved in Osteoblast Differentiation and Function Are Associated with Anthropometric Phenotypes in Spanish Women.

Much of the genetic variance associated with osteoporosis is still unknown. Bone mineral density (BMD) is the main predictor of osteoporosis risk, although other anthropometric phenotypes have recently gained importance. The aim of this study was to analyze the association of SNPs in genes involved in osteoblast differentiation and function with BMD, body mass index (BMI), and waist (WC) and hip (HC) circumferences. Four genes that affect osteoblast differentiation and/or function were selected from among the differentially expressed genes in fragility hip fracture (FOXC1, CTNNB1, MEF2C, and EBF2), and an association study of four single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) was conducted in a cohort of 1001 women. Possible allelic imbalance was also studied for SNP rs87939 of the CTNNB1 gene. We found significant associations of SNP rs87939 of the CTNNB1 gene with LS-sBMD, and of SNP rs1366594 of the MEF2C gene with BMI, after adjustment for confounding variables. The SNP of the MEF2C gene also showed a significant trend to association with FN-sBMD (p = 0.009). A possible allelic imbalance was ruled out as no differences for each allele were detected in CTNNB1 expression in primary osteoblasts obtained from homozygous women. In conclusion, we demonstrated that two SNPs in the MEF2C and CTNNB1 genes, both implicated in osteoblast differentiation and/or function, are associated with BMI and LS-sBMD, respectively.

Serum microRNAs in osteoporotic fracture and osteoarthritis: a genetic and functional study.

The rising incidence of bone pathologies such as osteoporosis and osteoarthritis is negatively affecting the functional status of millions of patients worldwide. The genetic component of these multifactorial pathologies is far from being fully understood, but in recent years several epigenetic mechanisms involved in the pathophysiology of these bone diseases have been identified. The aim of the present study was to compare the serum expression of four miRNAs in women with hip fragility fracture (OF group), osteoarthritis requiring hip replacement (OA group) and control women (Ctrl group). Serum expression of miR-497-5p, miR-155-5p, miR-423-5p and miR-365-3p was determined in a sample of 23 OA women, 25 OF women and 52 Ctrl women. Data shown that women with bone pathologies have higher expression of miR-497 and miR-423 and lower expression of miR-155 and miR-365 than control subjects. Most importantly, miR-497 was identified as an excellent discriminator between OA group and control group (AUC: 0.89, p < 0.000) and acceptable in distinguishing from the OF group (AUC: 0.76, p = 0.002). Our data suggest that circulating miR-497 may represent a significant biomarker of OA, a promising finding that could contribute towards future early-stage diagnosis of this disease. Further studies are required to establish the role of miR-155, miR-423 and miR-365 in bone pathologies.

Variants translating reduced expression of the beta estrogen receptor gene were associated with increased carotid intima media thickness: A cross-sectional study in late postmenopausal women.

ABSTRACT: There is debate on the role of estrogens in modulating the risk for atherosclerosis in women. Our purpose was to investigate whether the size of the estrogenic impact was independently associated with variation of carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in healthy late postmenopausal women. The levels of circulating estrogens have been used in previous studies but the influence of SNPs of the estrogen receptors (ER) α and ß have not been investigated.We performed a crossed-sectional study of 91 women in a university hospital. We used a double approach in which, in addition to the measurement of estradiol levels by ultrasensitive methods, genetic variants (SNPs) associated with differing expression of the ER α and ß genes were assessed. Multivariable analysis was used to examine the association of candidate factors with the value of IMT and plaque detection at both the carotid wall and the sinus.A genotype combination translating reduced gene expression of the ERß was directly associated with IMT at both the carotid wall (P = .001) and the sinus (P = .002). Other predictors of IMT were the levels of glucose, positively associated with IMT at both the carotid wall (P < .001) and the sinus (P = .001), age positively associated with IMT at the sinus (P = .003), and levels of vitamin D, positively associated with IMT at the carotid wall (P = .04).Poorer estrogenic impact, as concordant with a SNP variant imposing reduced expression of the ERß, was directly associated with IMT at both the carotid wall and the sinus. Glucose level, vitamin D only for the carotid wall, and age only for the sinus, also emerged as independent factors in the IMT variance.

Positive association of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with lumbar and femoral neck bone mineral density in postmenopausal women.

OBJECTIVE: Experimental studies suggest that lipids affect bone metabolism. We aimed to elucidate whether lipid levels are associated with bone mineral density (BMD) in a cohort of postmenopausal women. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study of participants in the Chronic Ailment Reduction after MENopause (CARMEN) cohort. Women underwent assessment of clinical and analytical parameters, including fasting lipid levels. BMD was assessed at both lumbar spine and hip. Homogeneity in the cohort was optimized by filtering out a series of confounding variables with a known impact on bone. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Association of BMD at lumbar spine and femoral neck with lipid levels. RESULTS: A total of 667 of the 1304 screened women were analyzed. A strong correlation was revealed between total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis detected a significant positive association of HDL-C with BMD at both spine (p = 0.007) and femoral neck (p = 0.013). Other independent predictors of spine BMD were years since menopause (ysm, negatively associated), and body mass index (BMI) and estradiol, both positively associated with BMD. The other independent variables in the femoral neck were ysm and glucose (negatively associated) and BMI, estradiol, and phosphate, all positively associated with BMD. CONCLUSION: Levels of HDL-C, but not TC, LDL-C or triglycerides, were positively associated with BMD at both the lumbar spine and femoral neck in a homogeneous cohort of postmenopausal women.

Bazedoxifene increases the proliferation of human arterial endothelial cells but does not affect the expression of cyclins A, B, and D1 and of p27Kip1.

OBJECTIVE: Endothelial dysfunction and denudation are considered a first step in atherosclerosis. Endothelial proliferation is key for cellular repair. The effect of bazedoxifene on the vascular endothelium has not been explored. We investigated the effect of bazedoxifene on endothelial cell proliferation. METHODS: Primary cultures from human umbilical artery endothelial cells were used in dose-response experiments (0.1, 1.0, and 10.0 EC50 dose) with bazedoxifene, estradiol, raloxifene and a combination of bazedoxifene and estradiol. Proliferation was assessed with the XTT colorimetric cell-proliferation assay. The possible participation of cyclins A, B, D1 and p27Kip1 was analyzed by the measurement of their expression at both the protein and the gene levels. RESULTS: A significant increase of similar size for cell proliferation was obtained with bazedoxifene, estradiol and raloxifene, but no significant change was observed for the association of bazedoxifene and estradiol. The impact was detected at the first 0.1 EC50 dose and was not dose-dependent. Estradiol achieved a significant increase in the protein expression of cyclin A and p27Kip1, but no change was detected for the other compounds at either the gene or protein level. CONCLUSION: Bazedoxifene demonstrated a proliferative effect of similar size to estradiol in cultured human umbilical artery endothelial cells. The molecular mechanisms need further investigation.

Diet to Reduce the Metabolic Syndrome Associated with Menopause. The Logic for Olive Oil.

The rates of metabolic syndrome are increasing in parallel with the increasing prevalence of obesity, primarily due to its concomitant insulin resistance. This is particularly concerning for women, as the years around menopause are accompanied by an increase in visceral obesity, a strong determinant of insulin resistance. A fall in estrogens and increase in the androgen/estrogen ratio is attributed a determining role in this process, which has been confirmed in other physiological models, such as polycystic ovary syndrome. A healthy lifestyle, with special emphasis on nutrition, has been recommended as a first-line strategy in consensuses and guidelines. A consistent body of evidence has accumulated suggesting that the Mediterranean diet, with olive oil as a vital component, has both health benefits and acceptable adherence. Herein, we provide an updated overview of current knowledge on the benefits of olive oil most relevant to menopause-associated metabolic syndrome, including an analysis of the components with the greatest health impact, their effect on basic mechanisms of disease, and the state of the art regarding their action on the main features of metabolic syndrome.

Comparative transcriptome analysis identifies CARM1 and DNMT3A as genes associated with osteoporosis.

To identify new candidate genes in osteoporosis, mainly involved in epigenetic mechanisms, we compared whole gene-expression in osteoblasts (OBs) obtained from women undergoing hip replacement surgery due to fragility fracture and severe osteoarthritis. Then, we analyzed the association of several SNPs with BMD in 1028 women. Microarray analysis yielded 2542 differentially expressed transcripts belonging to 1798 annotated genes, of which 45.6% (819) were overexpressed, and 54.4% (979) underexpressed (fold-change between - 7.45 and 4.0). Among the most represented pathways indicated by transcriptome analysis were chondrocyte development, positive regulation of bone mineralization, BMP signaling pathway, skeletal system development and Wnt signaling pathway. In the translational stage we genotyped 4 SNPs in DOT1L, HEY2, CARM1 and DNMT3A genes. Raw data analyzed against inheritance patterns showed a statistically significant association between a SNP of DNMT3A and femoral neck-(FN) sBMD and primarily a SNP of CARM1 was correlated with both FN and lumbar spine-(LS) sBMD. Most of these associations remained statistically significant after adjusting for confounders. In analysis with anthropometric and clinical variables, the SNP of CARM1 unexpectedly revealed a close association with BMI (p = 0.000082), insulin (p = 0.000085), and HOMA-IR (p = 0.000078). In conclusion, SNPs of the DNMT3A and CARM1 genes are associated with BMD, in the latter case probably owing to a strong correlation with obesity and fasting insulin levels.

Association of a single nucleotide polymorphism of RANK gene with blood pressure in Spanish women.

In addition to governing key functions in bone metabolism and the immune system, the RANK/RANKL/OPG system plays a role in the vascular system, particularly in vascular calcification and atherosclerosis.Given that these 2 phenotypes are considered a major cause of high blood pressure (BP), in this study we analyzed the association of SNPs in RANK and OPG genes with blood pressure. An observational study was conducted of 2 SNPs in the RANK gene (rs884205 and rs78326403) and 1 in the OPG gene (rs4876869) with systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in a cohort of 695 women.Data analysis revealed a statistically significant association between the SNP rs884205 and BP pressure (SBP and DBP). Analyzing this relationship by the dominant inheritance model for this SNP (allele risk: A), women of the AA/AC genotype showed higher BP than women of the CC genotype, both for SBP (P = .001) and for DBP (P = .003), and these associations both surpassed the Bonferroni threshold for multiple comparisons. Multivariate regression analysis including known predictors of BP as independent variables was performed to evaluate the strength of this association, which in the case of the SNP rs884205 of the RANK gene remained statistically significant after adjustment for both SBP (P = .0006) and DBP (P = .005), demonstrating the key role of this SNP in BP.We report a robust association between the SNP rs884205 in RANK gene and BP in women, and this SNP is validated as a candidate in cardiovascular risk studies.

Polymorphisms in genes involved in T-cell co-stimulation are associated with blood pressure in women.

In recent years, conclusive data have emerged on a relationship between immune system, especially the T-cell, and blood pressure (BP). The objective of the present study was to determine the association between BP and four polymorphisms in CD80, CD86, CD28 and CTLA4 genes that code for key proteins in the T-cell co-stimulation process, in a female cohort. To that end, an association study in a cohort of 934 women over 40 years old from two hospitals was done. Raw data showed a significant association between the SNP rs1129055 of CD86 gene and BP. Analyzing this association against inheritance patterns, higher SBP (p < 0.000) and DBP (p = 0.005) values were observed in AA than in GG/GA genotype subjects in the largest sample cohort (Hospital 1). In multivariate linear regression studies, with adjustment for presumed independent predictors of BP, the SNP of the CD86 gene remained a predictor of SBP (p = 0.001) and DBP (p = 0.006), as did the SNP rs867234 of the CD80 gene for DBP (p < 0.000), both resisting the Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons. As conclusion, we report a robust association between the SNP rs1129055 of CD86 gene and BP. The SNP rs867234 of CD80 gene was also shown to be a strong predictor of DBP.

Mediterranean diet and health: A systematic review of epidemiological studies and intervention trials.

Diet is a crucial variable for a healthy life. A rapidly growing number of studies in recent years support the hypothesis that the Mediterranean diet (MedDiet) has a beneficial effect on certain body systems, but the highly varied objectives and quality of these publications warrants an updated assessment. In the present review we performed a comprehensive evaluation of current evidence on the impact of the MedDiet on human health, assessing its effect on the incidence or progression of the main non-communicable diseases and their intermediate outcomes and risk factors. We scrutinised the clinical evidence from observational studies and randomised controlled trials. Cardiovascular disease was the condition with most information. The MedDiet showed a general preventive effect, which was reproduced to varying degrees for certain intermediate cardiovascular outcomes such as blood pressure, lipids, obesity, metabolic syndrome and diabetes. Benefits were also found for several types of cancer, brain function (including cognition, mood and to a lesser extent Parkinson's disease) and mortality. The quality of the published evidence was, however, generally moderate or low. In conclusion, the MedDiet shows a favourable impact on health. General adoption of a MedDiet is concordant with current policies promoting healthy and sustainable nutrition worldwide. Nonetheless, more high-quality research is needed to improve the consistency of the findings.

The Mediterranean diet: A historical perspective on food for health.

The Mediterranean diet (MedDiet) represents the crystallisation of the centuries-old cooking legacies of different civilisations. The association of the MedDiet with longevity and low cardiovascular risk prompted the Seven Countries Study, which provided epidemiological evidence on the health effects of diet. This led to further studies, both epidemiological and interventional. Scales to measure adherence as well as studies of food components have consolidated a body of knowledge that is of great interest to institutions and governmental agencies. The recognition of its benefits for health has made the widespread introduction of the MedDiet an urgent challenge. Parallel efforts are being made to extend research through experimental and clinical studies. The purpose of this review is to present the historical background of the MedDiet, the main steps leading to the recognition of its health benefits, and the current strategy to facilitate its global implementation.

The Do's and Don'ts of Psychophysical Methods for Interpretability of Psychometric Functions and Their Descriptors.

Many areas of research require measuring psychometric functions or their descriptors (thresholds, slopes, etc.). Data for this purpose are collected with psychophysical methods of various types and justification for the interpretation of results arises from a model of performance grounded in signal detection theory. Decades of research have shown that psychophysical data display features that are incompatible with such framework, questioning the validity of interpretations obtained under it and revealing that psychophysical performance is more complex than this framework entertains. This paper describes the assumptions and formulation of the conventional framework for the two major classes of psychophysical methods (single- and dual-presentation methods) and presents various lines of empirical evidence that the framework is inconsistent with. An alternative framework is then described and shown to account for all the characteristics that the conventional framework regards as anomalies. This alternative process model explicitly separates the sensory, decisional, and response components of performance and represents them via parameters whose estimation characterizes the corresponding processes. Retrospective and prospective evidence of the validity of the alternative framework is also presented. A formal analysis also reveals that some psychophysical methods and response formats are unsuitable for separation of the three components of observed performance. Recommendations are thus given regarding practices that should be avoided and those that should be followed to ensure interpretability of the psychometric function, or descriptors (detection threshold, difference limen, point of subjective equality, etc.) obtained with shortcut methods that do not require estimation of psychometric functions.

Bayesian Estimation with Informative Priors is Indistinguishable from Data Falsification.

Criticism of null hypothesis significance testing, confidence intervals, and frequentist statistics in general has evolved into advocacy of Bayesian analyses with informative priors for strong inference. This paper shows that Bayesian analysis with informative priors is formally equivalent to data falsification because the information carried by the prior can be expressed as the addition of fabricated observations whose statistical characteristics are determined by the parameters of the prior. This property of informative priors makes clear that only the use of non-informative, uniform priors in all types of Bayesian analyses is compatible with standards of research integrity. At the same time, though, Bayesian estimation with uniform priors yields point and interval estimates that are identical or nearly identical to those obtained with frequentist methods. At a qualitative level, frequentist and Bayesian outcomes have different interpretations but they are interchangeable when uniform priors are used. Yet, Bayesian interpretations require either the assumption that population parameters are random variables (which they are not) or an explicit acknowledgment that the posterior distribution (which is thus identical to the likelihood function except for a scale factor) only expresses the researcher's beliefs and not any information about the parameter of concern.

Women's morbid conditions are associated with decreased odds of live birth in the first IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective single-center study.

PURPOSE: The present study aims to ascertain whether there is a causal relationship between women's disease conditions present at the starting time of the first intended oocyte retrieval cycle and IVF/ICSI outcomes, primarily odds of live birth in the first IVF/ICSI treatment. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of infertile healthy and diseased women that had a live birth and/or exhibited a complete first oocyte retrieval cycle. Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) models were applied to adjust standard errors for the potential correlation among women exhibiting the same infertility etiology. Confounders to be controlled for in these GEE models were previously selected following a strict stepwise methodology. RESULTS: Compared to healthy women, diseased women exhibited lower odds of live birth (OR (95% CI) 0.704 (0.576-0.860)). Further screening analyses indicated that subclinical iodine-deficiency hypothyroidism together with autoimmune thyroiditis contributed significantly to decrease odds of live birth (OR (95% CI) 0.720 (0.608-0.853)). Another important contribution arose from practically all the remaining morbid conditions analyzed. These diseases were individually associated with lower odds of live birth, although differences were non-significant. Notwithstanding, differences became significant after merging these diseases in a single group (OR (95% CI) 0.605 (0.394-0.930)). CONCLUSION: There is a significant causal association between most diseases present at the starting time of the first intended oocyte retrieval cycle and lower odds of live birth in the first IVF/ICSI treatment.